Final college bowls, FPI vs spread, using Kelly for bet sizing

20-12-3 vs the spread (no bet in Liberty & Cotton, and LSU won  by exactly 7)

On $10,000 total bet, made $1,850.

This table reflects spreads as of Dec 12; in reality I was able to get some better bets down but did not affect the dollars.

Good result but not any kind of definitive statistical victory; however, it's worthy of further study.

I might look at pyramiding results - using each day as a bet.  Might not turn out so well since the last three "locks" (ASU, Stanford & FSU) lost vs. the spread.

Bowl	TEAMS	Dec 12 spread	Bet	RESULTS	Result$
NEW ORLEANS BOWL	LA-Lafayette, Sun Belt		250	24	$        250
	Tulane, C-USA	-1		21
GILDAN NEW MEXICO BOWL	Washington St, Pac-12	-3.5	250	45	$  (275.0)
	Colorado State, MW			48
FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL	Buffalo, MAC	-2	200	24	$  (220.0)
	San Diego State, MW			49
ROYAL PURPLE LAS VEGAS BOWL	USC, Pac-12	-6	250	45	$        250
	Fresno State, MW			20
BEEF 'O' BRADY'S BOWL	East Carolina, C-USA	-13.5	100	37	$        100
	Ohio, MAC			20
SHERATON HAWAII BOWL	Boise State, MW			23	$        200
	Oregon State, Pac-12	-3	200	38
LITTLE CAESARS BOWL	Bowling Green, MAC	-5.5		27	$        200
	Pittsburgh, ACC		200	30
POINSETTIA BOWL	Utah State, MW		1050	21	$    1,050
	N Illinois, MAC	-1.5		14
FIGHT HUNGER BOWL	Washington, Pac-12	-3	300	31	$        300
	BYU, FBS Indep.			16
MILITARY BOWL	Marshall, C-USA		100	31	$        100
	Maryland, ACC	-3		20
TEXAS BOWL	Minnesota, Big Ten	-4		17	$    100.0
	Syracuse, ACC		100	21
Belk Bowl	North Carolina, ACC	-3	250	39	$        250
	Cincinnati, American			17
BUFFALO WILD WINGS BOWL	Kansas State, Big 12	-3.5		31	$  (165.0)
	Michigan, Big Ten		150	14
NEW ERA PINSTRIPE BOWL	Notre Dame, FBS Indep.	-15.5		29	$        100
	Rutgers, American		100	16
RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL	Miami (FL), ACC			9	$        100
	Louisville, American	-3	100	36
Valero Alamo Bowl	Oregon, Pac-12	-14	700	30	700
	Texas, Big 12			7
ARMED FORCES BOWL	Navy, FBS Indep.	-6	200	24	200
	Middle Tennessee, C-USA			6
HOLIDAY BOWL	Arizona State, Pac-12	-14	800	23	-880
	Texas Tech, Big 12			37
MUSIC CITY BOWL	Georgia Tech, ACC		250	17	-275
	Ole Miss, SEC	-3		25
AdvoCare V100 Bowl	Arizona, Pac-12	-7.5	250	42	250
	Boston College, ACC			19
Chick-fil-A BOWL	Texas A&M, SEC	-12		52	800
	Duke, ACC		800	48
AutoZone LIBERTY BOWL	Mississippi St, SEC	-7		44
	Rice, C-USA			7
HYUNDAI SUN BOWL	UCLA, Pac-12	-7	200	42	200
	Virginia Tech, ACC			17
CAPITAL ONE BOWL	Wisconsin, Big Ten		100	24	-110
	South Carolina, SEC	-1		34
HEART OF DALLAS BOWL	North Texas, C-USA	-6.5	150	36	150
	UNLV, MW			14
TOSTITOS FIESTA BOWL	Baylor, Big 12	-16	200	42	-220
	UCF, American			52
TAXSLAYER.com GATOR BOWL	Georgia, SEC	-9	150	19	-165
	Nebraska, Big Ten			24
OUTBACK BOWL	LSU, SEC	-7	100	21	0
	Iowa, Big Ten			14
ROSE BOWL	Stanford, Pac-12	-4.5	1000	20	-1100
	Michigan State, Big Ten			24
ALLSTATE SUGAR BOWL	Alabama, SEC	-15		31	200
	Oklahoma, Big 12		200	45
AT&T COTTON BOWL	Oklahoma State, Big 12			31	0
	Missouri, SEC	-1		41
DISCOVER ORANGE BOWL	Ohio State, Big Ten	-3	100	35	-110
	Clemson, ACC			40
BBVA COMPASS BOWL	Houston, American		300	24	-330
	Vanderbilt, SEC	-3		41
GODADDY BOWL	Ball State, MAC	-9		20	250
	Arkansas State, Sun Belt		250	23
VIZIO BCS	Florida State, ACC	-8.5	650	34	-715
	Auburn, SEC			31